Wednesday, June 21, 2023

The European Union (EU) AI Act Explained

Image from Portex AI

Because of advances in AI and generative AI, calls for regulation have increased. In the second week of June 2023, the EU Parliament voted in favor of a draft legislation called the AI Act. It is the first comprehensive set of AI regulations in the West. 


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The Goal of the EU AI Act 


EU Officials want to put "guard rails" or rules in the development and use of AI. The technology is developing quickly, especially in recent months (the first six months of 2023). There is now a full-on AI race from the earliest startups to the top tech companies in the world. The rules should prevent harm to people from companies who are now moving too fast to come out first in this AI race. They proposed these rules in 2021. It includes high-risk applications of AI, such as facial recognition, predictive policing, and real-time biometric surveillance. The Parliament is looking at guard rails and bans if applicable. 


Image from WealthManagement.Com

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How Did ChatGPT and Similar Technologies Change the Proposed Rules in 2021?


These technologies played a crucial role in the discussions. They added new elements to the legislation. It includes a requirement to design AI models to prevent them from creating illegal content. Another is to make companies publish copyrighted data they use to train the models. There are mixed reactions from the industry. AI researchers and some people from tech companies have also been calling for legislation. There are tech company lobbyists that say that this act goes too far. They might be too prescriptive, especially with what they call "low-risk AI," and that it might hinder innovation.   


What Happens Now?


The EU legislative process can be complex. It is just one step in the path. There will be a big meeting between the Representatives from the EU Parliament, the Executive Body of the EU, and representatives from the member states. It is one big meeting. They will get together in a room to hash out the final version of the legislation. It already started. They target to finish by the end of 2023. 


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Sources: Wall Street Journal, Al Jazeera, BBC,



Tuesday, June 20, 2023

The Power of Grocery Delivery: How Amazon Fresh Redefines Convenience

Amazon Counters Walmart with Free Same-Day Grocery Delivery for PrimeGrocery delivery isn't new. The convenience of having your groceries delivered will be a part of our future. My friend, a 36-year-old mom of 2 beautiful baby girls, has been using Amazon Fresh for a few years, even before she became a mom. She used it regularly at work (we'll talk about same-day delivery in a bit). When she was pregnant, grocery delivery was a big help.  

How Amazon Fresh Works


You use their website to select items and fill your cart. At checkout, you choose a DELIVERY Date and a 2-Hour Window.


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2 Delivery Options

  1. Doorstep Delivery - You don't have to be at home.
  2. Attended Delivery - You have to be available to accept the delivery.


What Could I Buy on Amazon Fresh?

Anything at a grocery store is available through Amazon Fresh, including fruits, vegetables, dairy, meat, seafood, packaged goods, frozen foods, and household items.

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meat-fruit-vegetables – Kosmos Publishers

Pros and Cons


Pros

One of the advantages of Amazon Fresh is a BROAD PRODUCT RANGE. In addition to Whole Foods and 365-branded products, you have items that you can find at major grocery stores that are NOT available at Whole Foods. Prices are reasonable 


RELIABILITY is another advantage. Orders were always on time and never late. There are no problems with missing items. The produce quality is fresh. It's like you picked them yourself at the grocery. If you forget to add an item or realize there's something else you need after placing an order, you can edit or cancel up to a particular time before delivery.   

Amazon Brings Me My Groceries – Amazon Fresh Review – Poorer Than You

Cons

There is so much packaging when you recieve your delievery. Everything is packed up in boxes and insulated bags for frozen foods. That is because they fulfill orders from a warehouse rather than a local store or a fulfillment center. There is no option for bulk bin items. Same-day delivery is usually not available. However, if you place an order first thing in the morning, maybe you get it by night.


What If I Bought Ice Cream?  

Will I get ice cream or vanilla juice when it arrives? When you order refrigerated foods, expect to get frozen bottles of water. Frozen foods are packed in an insulated pouch with an ice pack, while a frozen bottle of water is nestled against refrigerated items to keep them cool.


It is worth mentioning that a 10% tip is added to your order, though you have the option to edit that.


If you need to restock your wine fridge or grab a six-pack for the weekend, you’re out of luck. Amazon Fresh does not offer wine or beer.

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Saturday, June 17, 2023

How Starbucks Won Over China

There are over 34,000 Starbucks in 80 countries. But what would happen if Starbucks opened a store in the world's largest tea-producing country? Well, they did that in 1999.


China


They now have about 6,000 stores in 230 cities in Mainland China. It's their second-largest market behind the U.S. They expand quickly, with a store opening every 9 hours. Starbucks wants 9,000 China outlets in 2025. They have been successful almost from day one. Not a lot of companies outside of China can do that. The question is, how did Starbucks succeed in a country known for its love of tea?

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Recipe For Success (Business Strategy) 


It was January 1999 when Starbucks opened its first store at the China World Trade Center in Beijing. Howard Schultz wanted Starbucks in China. But everyone around him was like, "Your crazy. That's a terrible idea. It's a tea-drinking culture. Nobody drinks coffee in China." But the company did not focus on coffee. They (brilliantly) assimilated and adapted to the Chinese tea house culture, which has been around for thousands of years. They added a wide variety of tea drinks, including Chinese tea. They signed a licensing agreement with Beijing Mei Da Coffee Co. that supplies wholesale coffee beans to hotels and restaurants. That was a microcosm of the company's strategy for the next few years. They operated through licensed and joint venture partnerships and company-owned stores. Part of their strategy was building rapport and relationships with Communist Party Officials.


They built the first Starbucks Reserve in 2014 and debuted the format in China. It is a premium Starbucks store with an elevated coffee experience. They showcase rare and unique coffee from around the world. It's a more immersive and sophisticated coffee environment than the Starbucks we know and love. 

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Expansion


They expanded rapidly. By their 20th anniversary in China, they opened a new store every 15 hours. They bought out their joint venture partner in 2017 for $1.3 billion. All Starbucks in China is 100% company-operated, compared to only 59% in North America.


The company debuted the Starbucks Reserve Roastery in 2017, the first fully-immersive coffee experience in Asia. It is 30,000 square feet; it's immersive and awe-inspiring. They showcase the art and science of coffee roasting. You will witness the entire coffee journey, from sourcing, roasting, brewing, and tasting. In 2019 they partnered with Nestle to bring Starbucks at-home options for the Chinese. The 6,000 China Starbucks stores account for 15% of the company's net revenue. 

More Recipes (More Business Strategy)


Starbucks assimilated with the Chinese tea culture, developed relationships with the government, collaborated with local businesses, and established a domestic supply chain. But to deepen their commitment and relationship with China, they plan to train more than 50,000 farmers by 2023, a pathway out of poverty. Adapting local tech and having their building in the country is another part of their growth strategy. They also have a successful loyalty program in China. 90% of the 7 million loyalty members actively engage on the app. China leads the Starbucks portfolio in digital payments with 80% cashless payments. In the U.S., they have 1,700 reward members per location compared to 3,300 reward members per location in China. 


Starbucks also partnered with Alibaba for tech, like in-store face recognition and a 15-minute delivery. And what they were doing in China, they successfully imported that to other international locations. Starbucks systems that Started in China include delivery, the loyalty program, tech, local products, and integration of online off-line offerings. They also localized the food in Starbucks. And in China, not only did they localize for China, they localized regionally. For instance, they have Beijing, Shanghai, and Shandong specialties per store. 


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They targeted the countries rising upper middle class and westernized young population. They placed the stores in business districts, urban centers, and tourist attractions. There are many stores near offices and university districts. 


Starbucks has been facing criticism with their high prices in China despite having a lower GDP per capita compared to U.S. (U.S. $69, 287 / China $12, 556). Some argued that prices should be lower. At that time, China was considered a developing country. A $4 cup of coffee was on the higher end. But Starbucks made their prices similar around the world. Walking around the street with a Starbucks Cup was a status symbol. It's like carrying an Louis Vuitton or Balenciaga bag. 


Starbucks and China's Culture


They adapted to China's culture by focusing on their values. Family, community, and status was a priority. Since 2012, they hosted an annual Partner Family Forum. They call employees as Partners. Partners and their parents learn together about the company and their future in China. In 2017, they launched the Starbucks China Parent Care Program to provide critical illness insurance plan for parents of employees. I love this. I hope more big companies adapt this program. 


They also designed the stores to fit traditional Chinese architecture. It has open layouts that welcome crowds, noise, and lounging. Starbucks stores in China tend to be bigger compared to the U.S. In China they use Starbucks like a traditional tea house. They go with large groups and hangout with friends and family. It's not unusual to see groups of 4 to 10 people. They socialize for 2 to 3 hours or so. Small stores with limited seats would not work in China. 


Nowadays, Starbucks has higher prices in China than in other parts of the world. They choose high-end outlets like luxury malls and office towers. In China, they see foreign brands as premium, especially in the food and beverage sector. They have competitors like Luckin Coffee and Tim Hortons. But they tend to have lower prices, like a $2 coffee. 


The Pandemic and Other Challenges


Sales predictably declined due to the country's strict COVID-19 restrictions. Lockdowns caused sales in China to sink 44% (Q3) and 16% (Q4) in 2022 compared to the year prior. China has some of the most draconian pandemic-related restrictions. There are also rising U.S.-China tensions, recent lockdowns, and inflation. Starbucks' quarterly earnings went down 42% in Q4 of 2022 compared to the year prior. 


Who is the Biggest Threat to Starbucks In China?


Since it entered China, Starbucks had a large share of the over $11 billion coffee market. In 2020 they held 36.4% of the coffee and tea shop market. But in 2017, there was a startup from China called Luckin Coffee. It became the second-largest coffee chain behind Starbucks in just a few years. They reportedly have 1,300 stores as of March 2023. But surprise surprise, Luckin Coffee filed for Chapter 15 bankruptcy in 2021. They got a penalty of $180 million from the SEC to settle accounting fraud charges. They delisted from NASDAQ. Luckin Coffee is still in business, but they are not a threat to Starbucks. What happened to Luckin Coffee is not unheard of in China. Dynamic startup companies pop up all the time. 


The biggest threat to Starbucks is a beverage company called HeyTea. They seemed to copy the Starbucks playbook but for tea. HeyTea is premium tea located in prime areas. There is strong demand. You can see lines outside the store. You don't see lines like this at Starbucks. They say you can spot a HeyTea inside a mall when you encounter a long line. 


Despite potential challenges such as competition and lockdowns, analysts appeared confident in Starbucks emerging on top. Many companies that came into China had a brutal and bloody fight, including Coca-Cola, Google, and L'OrĂ©al, to name a few. Surprisingly, Starbucks never took a significant blow. Even Mcdonald's and KFC had food safety issues and media problems. Starbucks has a smoother sail. 



Looking to the Future


Starbucks plans to increase its number of stores in China by 50%. As I mentioned, that translates to 9,000 China outlets in 2025 or opening a store every 9 hours. They also want to double their sales and quadruple their operating income. They want to add new stores, expand omnichannel services, and grow their at-home and on-the-go businesses.  


They have a big bet on digital. They are investing $220 million to launch a digital and innovation center in China. They want to further the digitization of store operations. In 2023, to replace Interim CEO Howard Schutz, they named Laxma Narasimhan. He is a veteran of multi-national corporations and has experience in China. 


Also, despite challenges in the country, sales recover quickly. That could indicate that the underlying demand is strong. The heavy investment in the region suggests that it is still a strategic priority. China seems to be a pillar of its growth strategy moving forward. 

Sources: CNBC, Reuters

Thursday, June 15, 2023

Starbucks Operates Like A Bank?

What comes to your mind when you're about to go to Starbucks? It's probably your favorite drink. For me, it's the Iced Latte. Tied in #2 are the Frappucino and the classic brewed coffee. Anyway, when you order something in Starbucks, you probably loaded one of these...

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 From October through December, approximately $3 billion worth of value gets loaded in these cards. That's a lot of money. If Starbucks were a bank, it would be the 385th biggest in America. Starbucks uses that as revenue before someone buys an espresso or a cinnamon roll.

Starbucks Gift Cards Are a Liability for the Company, or Is It?

Gift Cards are a liability for Starbucks because its an obligation to provide a product or service in the future. Until the card is redeemed, the unused balance is a liability in the financial statements ;) However, many gift cards go unused/unredeemed. Starbucks reported in 2022 that they attribute $212.7 million in revenue to "breakage," funds from unredeemed gift cards.


A Business History of Starbucks

In 1971 Starbucks started as a small, unassuming cafe in downtown Seattle. That store is still in operation, BTW. Today, Starbucks is a global coffee powerhouse. They are also a powerhouse in the restaurant sector, with Mcdonald's the only one with a larger market cap. In its early years, Starbucks had a slow expansion. They also only expanded in Seattle. In 1987, the original owners of Starbucks, Jerry Baldwin, Zev Siegl, and Gordon Bowker, sold the company to its then Marketing Director, Howard Schultz. The Starbucks we know today largely came from ideas and business strategies of Schultz. He began expanding outside of Seattle and introduced Americans to a little-known Italian drink called the espresso. 

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At that time, Starbucks also had a coffee house culture. They make each coffee by hand and according to order. But as the company grew, they had to change that. Starbucks says that they make 170,000 varieties of drinks. They now have many signature drinks. I mentioned earlier the Frappucino. They also have the Pumpkin Spiced Latte, which they did not expect to be such a big hit. It's now a phenomenon all over the world. Cold drinks have also become crucial for the bottom line of Starbucks. The Frappucino is a hit, but sales can be inconsistent. The company created new beverages, mostly cold brew drinks, to cover up for the sales dip of Frappucinos. 

Tech in Starbucks

In 2009, Starbucks launched their mobile app. That was pretty early. The iPhone was only two years old at that time. But by the end of 2021, mobile orders were almost a quarter (24%) of Starbucks U.S. transactions. Many of these were Virtual Starbucks Gift Cards. Today, Starbucks Gift Cards account for 44% of transactions.

Starbucks says that the gift card and mobile app hold about $2.4 billion in cash from customers. That's more money than many American banks. Equally as important as the money, Starbucks also owns the data. And even before the pandemic, 80% of Starbucks U.S. orders came from on-the-go. That includes drive-thru, mobile orders, and food delivery apps like Uber Eats and Grubhub. 


Starbucks Culture and Values

Starbucks says that they remain committed to a set of values established early on by the company. They always wanted to create a connection between the baristas and the customers. In their earnings call, they talk about a Customer Connection Score. Essentially, they want every customer to feel good about their Starbucks experience. Part of their values is the store design. Each store is 'choreographed' with nothing placed accidentally. 

They are also proud of an internal culture with a strong relationship between management and employees. They call their baristas Partners. Aside from salary and benefits, Partners also get stocks. But that could change. In 2021, 2 of 3 Buffalo stores voted in favor of unionization. Executives met with Partners in Buffalo to understand their issues and concerns. Starbucks says they want to maintain that direct relationship with employees. They even call unions as intermediaries. 

Starbucks is a very successful company. They are synonymous with the modern coffee culture. But as technology advances and more Partners want to unionize, Starbucks will face more and maybe even unforeseen challenges. 

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